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Why Intuitive Machines Is Taking Off While Broader Market Sinks

Written by Chris Markoch. Published 11/19/2025.

Intuitive Machines (NASDAQ: LUNR) is up 7.8% on a day when the broader market is moving lower. The lunar exploration company has had no new launches, nor were there any developments in its financial results that would explain the move.

The catalyst behind the LUNR rally is a deal that will initially be dilutive to existing shareholders. Intuitive Machines is buying Lanteris for $800 million, paying $450 million in cash and issuing $350 million in LUNR stock. That stock issuance is the source of near-term dilution.

How long can the rally last? With 27% short interest, the move could spark short covering, producing a more substantial short-term advance. That’s attractive to traders, but long-term investors—those who view Intuitive Machines as a potential multi-bagger over several years—will want to look at the strategic rationale.

That rationale is embedded in the Lanteris acquisition: analysts and institutions are optimistic about where the company’s growth will come from going forward.

The Lanteris Deal Expands the Company’s Core Mission

Until now, Intuitive Machines was largely perceived as a lunar exploration company. The nature of those missions — long timelines and high costs — meant revenue opportunities were attractive but somewhat limited in scope.

The acquisition of Lanteris meaningfully broadens the company's footprint. Lanteris builds satellites and spacecraft designed to service satellites in orbit, a capability that complements Intuitive Machines’ partnership with NASA to develop a satellite communications network between Earth and the moon.

Adding Lanteris brings Intuitive Machines’ portfolio closer to that of other aerospace stocks and increases the company’s chances of landing additional government contracts. Some of those contracts could tie into the proposed “Golden Dome” project and would be important steps toward improving the company’s path to profitability.

Insider Buying Supports a Higher Price Target

On the same day as Intuitive Machines' earnings report, director Michael Blitzer made two purchases of LUNR stock. The combined purchases totaled roughly 240,000 shares at a cost of about $2.1 million — a clear signal he views the stock as undervalued.

Analysts seem to agree. On Nov. 10, a few days before the earnings release, Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated its Overweight rating on LUNR and set a $16 price target.

That target is above the consensus price target of $15.40, and represents a potential gain of roughly 63% from the stock’s Nov. 18 closing price.

Investors may be taking notice: trading volume has remained elevated, and any additional positive news in the space sector could act as a catalyst.

The Reward Outweighs the Risk

Intuitive Machines is still a young public company and remains speculative. It is generating revenue but is likely several years away from consistent profitability, and its shares trade near the company’s IPO price as of this writing.

Still, the Lanteris deal meaningfully alters the long-term outlook. It may reduce a portion of the heavy short interest, especially given that over 70% of the float is held by institutional investors — institutions that have been net buyers of LUNR at a nearly 5:1 ratio over the past 12 months.

For traders, a bullish technical setup may be emerging. LUNR shares have been rangebound since May and are currently trading below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $10.81. The MACD is negative but appears to be stabilizing, which can precede bullish momentum. Traders will want to see a decisive move above the 50-day SMA on strong volume.

Confirmation would come from higher volume and a MACD crossover, validating a breakout attempt toward recent highs. Until technical triggers align with broader market sentiment, however, the sustainability of any rally remains uncertain.